Pattern Intelligence · SAO

B1TI34 quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 59.9%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.72%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 49.5%

Unclear · avg analogue +1.41%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence is mixed

The current setup has both supportive and challenging components.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
60.99
Trend Line
61.25
Fair value
42.56
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -2.54%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +1.91%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +8.32%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -0.42%

Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.

Price vs Fair Value +43.32%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.00

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.06

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity +0.01

This component is neutral.

Price Cycle +0.43

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
2009
JPX
2026-05-15 0.7577 lower -0.74%
SCM
NYSE
2021-10-22 0.7563 higher +1.84%
PROT
OSL
2024-01-19 0.7552 higher +26.15%
8133
JPX
2024-05-24 0.7548 lower -1.63%
EL
NYSE
2022-01-07 0.7508 lower -11.71%
SCM
NYSE
2021-11-19 0.7423 lower -8.27%
BRE
TOR
2021-12-03 0.7408 lower -2.30%
JPM
NYSE
2026-02-06 0.7399 lower -10.21%
LLY
MEX
2022-05-13 0.7397 higher +2.41%
ABBN
EBS
2024-11-08 0.7365 higher +4.00%
9782
JPX
2026-01-02 0.7356 higher +11.99%
BRBR
NYSE
2024-07-19 0.7327 higher +8.41%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Volume pressure -1.20821
  • Sector structure -0.85433
  • Next-week expectancy 0.64914
  • Trend Signal 0.57698
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.