Pattern Intelligence · SHZ

300951 quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 39.8%

Likely lower · avg analogue -2.23%

Moderate conviction
Next 4 weeks 51.0%

Unclear · avg analogue +1.18%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

5 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
44.95
Trend Line
37.78
Fair value
32.67
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -7.86%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +0.52%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +8.79%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +18.97%

Price is comfortably above its medium-term trend.

Price vs Fair Value +37.59%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.10

The stock is showing relative leadership.

Market Activity +0.98

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.38

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
002798
SHZ
2026-05-29 0.5026 lower -17.29%
7004
JPX
2026-05-29 0.489 lower -9.22%
SHANTIGEAR
NSI
2022-06-10 0.4772 higher +0.72%
9590
SAU
2024-08-09 0.4727 lower -8.58%
GLRE
NASDAQ
2026-04-24 0.4699 lower -9.53%
CLSK
MEX
2025-11-14 0.4657 higher +31.86%
002015
SHZ
2026-04-03 0.462 higher +8.99%
601600
SHH
2025-12-05 0.4569 higher +7.19%
FTG
TOR
2026-03-13 0.4558 higher +5.12%
7914
JPX
2024-07-26 0.4482 lower -5.31%
TREX
NYSE
2021-12-31 0.4475 lower -35.41%
FTK
GER
2020-06-26 0.4474 lower -8.87%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure -5.05664
  • Market Activity 0.89249
  • Trend Signal 0.57698
  • Next-week expectancy -0.36335
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.