Pattern Intelligence · VIE

EK7 quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 66.8%

Likely higher · avg analogue +1.30%

Moderate conviction
Next 4 weeks 49.6%

Unclear · avg analogue -0.58%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

5 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
0.62
Trend Line
0.53
Fair value
0.24
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -7.23%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue -1.06%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +2.69%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +18.92%

Price is comfortably above its medium-term trend.

Price vs Fair Value +164.67%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.00

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.12

The stock is showing relative leadership.

Market Activity +0.12

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +1.65

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
CAH
BUE
2024-08-30 0.8405 lower -7.69%
GRSEL
IST
2025-02-14 0.8192 lower -8.98%
GENESYS
NSI
2022-09-30 0.808 higher +1.88%
MRK
BUE
2024-08-16 0.7989 lower -1.11%
TGSU2
BUE
2024-08-23 0.7981 higher +5.23%
AGHOL
IST
2024-04-19 0.7954 higher +19.51%
PFC
NSI
2024-07-05 0.7943 lower -1.02%
RALYH
IST
2026-02-06 0.7931 lower -13.40%
BIMAS
IST
2024-08-16 0.7926 higher +2.07%
5482
JPX
2025-10-24 0.7909 higher +7.56%
NVDA
VIE
2024-08-16 0.7871 lower -3.86%
TPC
NYSE
2026-04-24 0.7867 lower -16.07%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Volume pressure -2.63769
  • Price vs Fair Value 1.58429
  • Price Cycle 1.57779
  • Next-week expectancy 0.62812
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.