Pattern Intelligence · SHH

605286 quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 39.2%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.08%

Moderate conviction
Next 4 weeks 42.9%

Unclear · avg analogue -0.70%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence challenges the read

5 of the core evidence blocks are acting as headwinds.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
25.03
Trend Line
38.85
Fair value
31.59
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -5.50%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue -1.49%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +4.59%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -35.58%

Price is below trend, which keeps pressure on the setup.

Price vs Fair Value -20.77%

Price is trading below Fair Value, which can create recovery potential if pressure improves.

Market Dynamics -0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.38

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity -0.32

This component is a drag.

Price Cycle -0.21

This component is a drag.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
6367
JPX
2024-09-06 0.5603 higher +16.92%
4284
JPX
2022-01-07 0.5239 lower -1.41%
BLKASHYAP
NSI
2025-11-14 0.5037 lower -2.61%
950210
KSC
2025-10-31 0.5032 higher +5.05%
002848
SHZ
2020-12-11 0.4877 lower -3.56%
41O
SES
2022-07-29 0.4857 lower -5.08%
688369
SHH
2022-04-29 0.4836 higher +4.50%
DCAL
NSI
2025-03-28 0.483 lower -5.36%
688059
SHH
2024-02-02 0.4816 higher +20.07%
APPF
NASDAQ
2025-03-28 0.481 lower -13.23%
ASHOKA
NSI
2025-04-11 0.4803 lower -5.54%
ACM
NYSE
2023-11-24 0.4784 higher +5.14%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure -5.05664
  • Trend Signal -0.42302
  • Market Activity -0.41403
  • Price vs Trend Line -0.37571
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.