Pattern Intelligence · VIE

TGTC quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 33.5%

Likely lower · avg analogue -0.81%

Moderate conviction
Next 4 weeks 50.1%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.17%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

5 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
118.60
Trend Line
101.39
Fair value
105.71
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -2.43%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +0.32%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +3.86%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +16.98%

Price is comfortably above its medium-term trend.

Price vs Fair Value +12.20%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.07

The stock is showing relative leadership.

Market Activity +0.86

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.12

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
INAC
LSE
2025-11-14 0.7134 higher +6.48%
INEA
PAR
2025-07-11 0.6908 lower -2.31%
SCR
EBS
2025-09-26 0.68 higher +0.87%
ASY
PAR
2021-09-17 0.6781 lower -2.48%
GDBR34
SAO
2024-06-07 0.6728 lower -2.85%
K6S
SES
2026-02-06 0.6726 higher +1.37%
USBC
VIE
2026-03-06 0.6621 higher +3.45%
AXPB34
SAO
2024-08-02 0.6619 higher +8.93%
SREI
LSE
2021-05-28 0.6574 higher +8.11%
DPZ
MEX
2024-07-05 0.6567 lower -15.20%
BKS
LSE
2024-07-26 0.656 higher +12.05%
AMAD
VIE
2023-07-07 0.6557 higher +4.84%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Volume pressure 2.61654
  • Sector structure -1.19323
  • Market Activity 0.76508
  • Trend Signal 0.57698
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.