Pattern Intelligence · LSE

KNM quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 60.0%

Unclear · avg analogue +1.38%

Moderate conviction
Next 4 weeks 51.1%

Unclear · avg analogue -1.26%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence is mixed

The current setup has both supportive and challenging components.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
18,530.00
Trend Line
19,557.07
Fair value
15,198.13
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -2.38%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +1.76%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +6.22%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -5.25%

Price is below trend, which keeps pressure on the setup.

Price vs Fair Value +21.92%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics -0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.16

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity -0.16

This component is a drag.

Price Cycle +0.22

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
ITX
MCE
2025-08-29 0.6371 higher +7.37%
1518
JPX
2023-11-03 0.6328 higher +4.95%
2294
JPX
2022-07-29 0.6079 lower -1.23%
600188
SHH
2023-06-23 0.6004 higher +17.38%
SAMAT
IST
2021-10-22 0.5991 higher +0.26%
AFRE
TLV
2022-11-04 0.5981 higher +13.60%
6939
KLS
2023-08-04 0.5975 higher +6.11%
ALARK
IST
2025-02-07 0.5958 lower -5.20%
MTSA4
SAO
2024-10-25 0.5946 lower -2.37%
ARVIND
NSI
2025-08-29 0.593 higher +9.01%
3547
JPX
2025-01-31 0.5922 higher +0.75%
ALIG
STO
2026-04-10 0.5915 lower -2.38%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure -1.33304
  • Volume pressure 1.32023
  • Close location -0.44247
  • Trend Signal -0.42302
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.