Pattern Intelligence · SAO

A1LN34 quant read

The nearest historical setups point to downside risk rather than follow-through strength.

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Next week 20.3%

Likely lower · avg analogue -1.09%

Moderate conviction

Next 4 weeks 33.6%

Likely lower · avg analogue -0.36%

Moderate conviction

Live chart evidence Chart evidence challenges the read

3 of the core evidence blocks are acting as headwinds.

Quant agreement Clean alignment

Evidence improves only if price stabilises and relative strength stops lagging.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close: 76.96
Trend Line: 85.24
Fair value: 73.16

Hover chart for weekly context.

Practical insights

What this is saying

Pattern Lab compares today’s setup with resolved historical setups. The useful question is not “does it look similar?” but “when it looked similar before, did price actually go higher?”

Bias: downside risk Evidence improves only if price stabilises and relative strength stops lagging.

Supportive

Price Cycle: +0.05

Headwinds

Price vs Trend Line: -9.72%
Relative Strength: -0.31
Market Activity: -0.30

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.

Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -4.78%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue -1.04%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case 0.00%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -9.72%

Price is below trend, which keeps pressure on the setup.

Price vs Fair Value +5.20%

Price is close to Fair Value.

Market Dynamics +0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.31

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity -0.30

This component is a drag.

Price Cycle +0.05

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker	Week	Similarity	Outcome	4W return
TSN VIE	2025-11-21	0.7445	higher	+7.98%
PGR MEX	2026-05-29	0.7306	higher	+15.55%
IBEN MEX	2021-12-10	0.7295	lower	-5.31%
SULI JKT	2024-07-26	0.706	higher	+6.25%
RICHY SET	2022-09-30	0.7041	lower	-2.30%
6198 JPX	2022-05-27	0.7003	lower	-3.26%
088790 KSC	2022-01-21	0.6923	flat	0.00%
MLBSP PAR	2022-02-18	0.6892	flat	0.00%
ZEN SET	2024-03-08	0.689	lower	-5.88%
G2DD34 SAO	2026-05-08	0.689	lower	-2.27%
SLSA GER	2025-06-13	0.6852	lower	-4.79%
AFC SET	2023-03-24	0.6821	lower	-4.76%

Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

Volume pressure -1.89068
Sector structure -1.2769
Close location -0.45058
Trend Signal -0.42302

This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.