Pattern Intelligence · JPX

8338 quant read

The nearest historical setups point to a better-than-even chance of higher prices across the tested horizon set.

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Next week 63.1%

Likely higher · avg analogue +2.98%

Moderate conviction

Next 4 weeks 57.2%

Unclear · avg analogue +2.79%

Low conviction

Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

4 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

Confirmation from price holding above trend and relative strength staying firm.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close: 615.00
Trend Line: 588.37
Fair value: 324.61

Hover chart for weekly context.

Practical insights

What this is saying

Pattern Lab compares today’s setup with resolved historical setups. The useful question is not “does it look similar?” but “when it looked similar before, did price actually go higher?”

Bias: upside follow-through Confirmation from price holding above trend and relative strength staying firm.

Supportive

Price vs Trend Line: +4.53%
Price vs Fair Value: +89.46%
Market Activity: +0.27
Price Cycle: +0.89

Headwinds

No core headwind block is clearly negative.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.

Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -4.07%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +1.50%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +10.68%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +4.53%

Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.

Price vs Fair Value +89.46%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics -0.00

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.04

Relative strength is not giving a clear edge.

Market Activity +0.27

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.89

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker	Week	Similarity	Outcome	4W return
HOME-B STO	2025-11-28	0.864	lower	-14.05%
OLA TOR	2025-09-12	0.8633	lower	-3.50%
VOW GER	2021-09-03	0.8604	lower	-7.41%
RMMC LSE	2021-09-10	0.8589	lower	-6.29%
GEECEE NSI	2024-12-06	0.8565	higher	+2.95%
IBI TLV	2025-06-27	0.852	higher	+18.54%
002173 SHZ	2026-01-02	0.8497	higher	+30.26%
MSTCLTD NSI	2024-06-28	0.8493	higher	+10.95%
VBK GER	2021-06-04	0.8482	lower	-1.91%
XTP GER	2025-07-11	0.8472	higher	+3.62%
AVADHSUGAR NSI	2021-12-03	0.8451	higher	+10.83%
TEK LSE	2022-01-28	0.8429	lower	-0.89%

Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

Price vs Fair Value 0.83214
Price Cycle 0.82563
Sector structure 0.7528
Trend Signal 0.57698

This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.