Pattern Intelligence · PAR

ENX quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 56.6%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.66%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 53.2%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.73%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

5 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
148.00
Trend Line
133.85
Fair value
106.25
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -6.16%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue -0.31%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +2.54%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +10.57%

Price is comfortably above its medium-term trend.

Price vs Fair Value +39.30%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.00

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.08

The stock is showing relative leadership.

Market Activity +0.47

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.39

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
MERY
PAR
2025-08-15 0.7502 lower -3.33%
HDFCAMC
NSI
2025-09-05 0.7332 higher +0.33%
WAWI
OSL
2023-12-22 0.7254 higher +14.09%
9621
JPX
2022-09-16 0.7113 higher +1.49%
OEM-B
STO
2024-03-29 0.7072 higher +0.83%
TATGD
IST
2022-02-18 0.7034 lower -6.35%
9927
JPX
2021-08-06 0.7006 lower -1.48%
5997
JPX
2025-11-07 0.6963 higher +3.00%
TKA
VIE
2025-07-04 0.6962 lower -4.28%
EPR
OSL
2025-04-25 0.696 higher +8.64%
CPK
NYSE
2021-02-19 0.6958 higher +15.65%
8070
JPX
2022-12-16 0.6952 lower -3.42%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure -0.88218
  • Next-week expectancy 0.68569
  • Trend Signal 0.57698
  • Market Activity 0.38274
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.