Pattern Intelligence · ASX

TAH quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 57.8%

Unclear · avg analogue +2.00%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 53.4%

Unclear · avg analogue +1.70%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence challenges the read

3 of the core evidence blocks are acting as headwinds.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
0.82
Trend Line
0.91
Fair value
0.75
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -2.85%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +1.12%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +5.56%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line -9.62%

Price is below trend, which keeps pressure on the setup.

Price vs Fair Value +9.55%

Price is close to Fair Value.

Market Dynamics -0.01

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength -0.10

The stock is lagging relative strength.

Market Activity -0.19

This component is a drag.

Price Cycle +0.10

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
MDRR
NASDAQ
2026-06-12 0.6578 lower -1.32%
MINDTECK
NSI
2026-06-12 0.6468 higher +1.20%
SONY
NYSE
2026-06-12 0.6427 higher +1.56%
ZENITHEXPO
NSI
2026-06-12 0.6401 higher +0.34%
YOJ
ASX
2026-06-12 0.6325 higher +3.57%
KITEX
NSI
2026-06-12 0.6253 higher +5.74%
SZ50
GER
2026-06-12 0.6231 higher +1.54%
INDBANK
NSI
2026-06-12 0.6186 higher +2.16%
SMI
ASX
2026-06-12 0.6157 lower -20.35%
OBIO
NASDAQ
2026-06-12 0.6006 lower -2.68%
WFG
NYSE
2026-06-12 0.5966 lower -2.12%
SHOE
LSE
2026-06-12 0.5953 lower -5.00%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure 1.17596
  • Volume pressure -0.4268
  • Trend Signal -0.42302
  • Next-week expectancy -0.34199
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.