Pattern Intelligence · MIL

DANR quant read

The pattern is not clean enough for a strong directional call. The chart needs confirmation.

Next week 53.3%

Unclear · avg analogue +0.77%

Low conviction
Next 4 weeks 54.6%

Unclear · avg analogue +1.04%

Low conviction
Live chart evidence Chart evidence supports the read

4 of the core evidence blocks are supportive.

Quant agreement Evidence not decisive

A decisive weekly close that pulls the 1-week and 4-week evidence into agreement.

Current weekly tape

Price, trend line, and fair value

Use this to anchor the probability read to the actual chart. A bearish analogue read is more serious when price is below trend or stretched above fair value.

Close
46.50
Trend Line
45.00
Fair value
27.49
Hover chart for weekly context.

Signal stack

What changed underneath price?

Each signal is standardized against its own recent history, so the lines show whether the current reading is unusually strong or weak for this stock.

Hover for standardized signal values.

Historical memory

Nearest 4-week analogue returns

Bars are the forward 4-week returns from the closest resolved examples, ordered by similarity. Red clustering is the warning sign.

Hover for analogue return and similarity rank.
Outcome frame

Range of outcomes from the nearest 4-week analogues

This is not a forecast range. It is the historical distribution of similar setups, translated into bear/base/bull context.

Bear case -8.43%

What weaker historical analogues tended to deliver.

Base analogue +0.04%

The middle outcome from the nearest resolved examples.

Bull case +8.71%

What stronger historical analogues tended to deliver.

Evidence stack

Why the model sees this setup

These are the current conditions feeding the analogue read. The point is not the number alone; it is whether the evidence agrees with the probability read.

Price vs Trend Line +3.33%

Price is close to trend, so direction still needs confirmation.

Price vs Fair Value +69.17%

Price is stretched above the current Fair Value estimate.

Market Dynamics +0.00

Market Dynamics are neutral.

Relative Strength +0.04

Relative strength is not giving a clear edge.

Market Activity +0.23

This component is supportive.

Price Cycle +0.69

This component is supportive.

Historical rhymes

Closest resolved setups

The table keeps the model honest: these are the actual examples behind the headline odds.

Ticker Week Similarity Outcome 4W return
BBVA
NYSE
2026-01-30 0.8813 lower -9.01%
2676
JPX
2023-11-24 0.8788 higher +7.50%
9104
JPX
2024-02-23 0.8717 lower -12.33%
GE
NYSE
2024-09-20 0.868 higher +2.92%
FII
PAR
2026-03-13 0.8623 higher +18.29%
8316
JPX
2023-07-14 0.8618 higher +2.63%
TVSMOTOR
NSI
2026-03-06 0.8611 lower -10.06%
VER
VIE
2022-03-04 0.8563 higher +8.65%
7868
JPX
2023-05-05 0.8548 lower -9.42%
DASH
NASDAQ
2025-04-18 0.8539 higher +11.45%
BEL
NSI
2025-10-31 0.8511 lower -3.37%
ABBN
EBS
2024-11-08 0.8466 higher +4.00%
Distinctive drivers

What made this setup unusual

These are the largest deviations from the run baseline, renamed into plain market language.

  • Sector structure -0.67701
  • Next-week expectancy 0.66719
  • Price vs Fair Value 0.62921
  • Price Cycle 0.6227
This is historical analogue evidence, not advice. It becomes more useful when probability, average return, chart evidence, and nearby examples all point in the same direction.