Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 46.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 46.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 30/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 46.5%
Signal Watch
Score 20
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 92 Liquidity 1.3K Spread 0.5 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality30.0
Momentum5.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 46.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 30/100.

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