Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 47.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 47.0%. 24h move +4.0 pts. 7d move +4.0 pts. Data quality 30/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 47.0%
Signal Watch
Score 36
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 92 Liquidity 1.3K Spread 0.6 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality29.8
Momentum48.2
Urgency25.0
7d Move4.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 47.0%. 24h move +4.0 pts. 7d move +4.0 pts. Data quality 30/100.

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