Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 17.3% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 17.3%. 24h move -1.2 pts. 7d move -1.2 pts. Data quality 35/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 17.3%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 59s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 923 Liquidity 762 Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality34.9
Momentum15.4
Urgency25.0
7d Move-1.3 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 17.3%. 24h move -1.2 pts. 7d move -1.2 pts. Data quality 35/100.

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