Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be 40 or more?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 36.6% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 36.6%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 32/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 36.6%
Signal Watch
Score 19
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 908 Liquidity 294 Spread 0.4 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality32.3
Momentum1.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.2 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 36.6%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 32/100.

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