Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 62.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 62.0%. 24h move -11.0 pts. 7d move -11.0 pts. Data quality 26/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
62.0%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
50
Freshness
2m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 902
Liquidity 20
Spread 0.6 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality26.0
Momentum88.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move-11.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 62.0%. 24h move -11.0 pts. 7d move -11.0 pts. Data quality 26/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Same theme