Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 13.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 13.0%. 24h move -4.0 pts. 7d move -4.0 pts. Data quality 30/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 13.0%
Signal Watch
Score 40
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 95 Liquidity 815 Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality29.8
Momentum48.2
Urgency47.8
7d Move-4.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 13.0%. 24h move -4.0 pts. 7d move -4.0 pts. Data quality 30/100.

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