Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 32.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 32.5%. 24h move +8.5 pts. 7d move +8.5 pts. Data quality 30/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 32.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 50
Freshness 23s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 95 Liquidity 1.0K Spread 0.4 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality29.7
Momentum74.3
Urgency47.8
7d Move8.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 32.5%. 24h move +8.5 pts. 7d move +8.5 pts. Data quality 30/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

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