Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Josh Cowen be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 1.6% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 1.6%. 24h move -0.0 pts. 7d move -0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 1.6%
Signal Watch
Score 22
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 894 Liquidity 7.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.5
Momentum0.3
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.1 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 1.6%. 24h move -0.0 pts. 7d move -0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100.

Same theme
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? 49.1% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat? 19.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? 27.0% · Probability Fade · score 50 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 49 Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 Nicaragua? 45.5% · Probability Surge · score 48