Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?
Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 96.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 96.0%. 24h move +0.7 pts. 7d move +0.7 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
96.0%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
26
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 8.8K
Liquidity 9.0K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality46.1
Momentum4.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.7 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 96.0%. 24h move +0.7 pts. 7d move +0.7 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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