Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Republican Party win the LA-04 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 89.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 89.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 89.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 22
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 870 Liquidity 7.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.4
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 89.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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