Polymarket · Crypto

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Crypto expectations are steady at 93.5% on a moderate-quality market. Crypto expectation is steady at 93.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 93.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 24
Freshness 47s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.7K Liquidity 7.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality45.6
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Crypto expectation is steady at 93.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? 70.9% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? 78.5% · Probability Surge · score 53 Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? 43.0% · Probability Fade · score 53 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? 69.5% · Probability Fade · score 49 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? 83.2% · Probability Surge · score 49 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? 81.0% · High Conviction · score 46