Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 0.4% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.4%
Signal Watch
Score 25
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.9K Liquidity 22.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality48.4
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

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