Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 20–30%?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 96.6% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 96.6%. 24h move +0.6 pts. 7d move +0.6 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 96.6%
Signal High Conviction
Score 20
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 926 Liquidity 11.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.4
Momentum3.2
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.6 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 96.6%. 24h move +0.6 pts. 7d move +0.6 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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