Polymarket · Technology

Will Parchment: Agenda & Daily Note be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?

Technology expectations are falling at 2.8% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is steady at 2.8%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move +0.8 pts. Data quality 30/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 2.8%
Signal Watch
Score 27
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 94 Liquidity 679 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality29.8
Momentum2.5
Urgency68.9
7d Move0.8 pts

Technology expectation is steady at 2.8%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move +0.8 pts. Data quality 30/100.

Same theme
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? 74.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? 14.6% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? 90.0% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? 92.5% · Probability Surge · score 59 Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on July 21? 11.5% · Probability Fade · score 58 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in July? 15.0% · Probability Fade · score 56