Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 87.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 87.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 87.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 27
Freshness 29s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.9K Liquidity 9.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality46.2
Momentum5.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move-1.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 87.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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