Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Jack Cruickshanks win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 39.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 39.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 30/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 39.0%
Signal Watch
Score 23
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 95 Liquidity 1.4K Spread 0.7 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality29.8
Momentum0.0
Urgency53.6
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 39.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 30/100.

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