Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 59.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 59.5%. 24h move +5.5 pts. 7d move +5.5 pts. Data quality 35/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 59.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 47
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 947 Liquidity 668 Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality34.8
Momentum43.9
Urgency77.3
7d Move5.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 59.5%. 24h move +5.5 pts. 7d move +5.5 pts. Data quality 35/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will Starmer say "Transportation" or "Transport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? 50.0% · Thin Market · score 63 Will Starmer say "Kid" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? 48.5% · Thin Market · score 60 Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? 34.5% · Probability Surge · score 60 Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 3 CR Brasil? 1.9% · Probability Fade · score 57 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 12, 2026? 2.5% · Probability Fade · score 56 Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 98.0% · Probability Surge · score 55