Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Bill Reid win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 10.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 10.5%. 24h move -29.5 pts. 7d move -29.5 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 10.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 51
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9 Liquidity 2.9K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality27.4
Momentum75.0
Urgency53.6
7d Move-29.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 10.5%. 24h move -29.5 pts. 7d move -29.5 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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