Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Heather Doran win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 11.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 11.0%. 24h move -31.0 pts. 7d move -31.0 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 11.0%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 54
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9 Liquidity 2.7K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality27.3
Momentum84.0
Urgency53.6
7d Move-31.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 11.0%. 24h move -31.0 pts. 7d move -31.0 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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