Polymarket · Politics & Policy
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 96.8% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 96.8%. 24h move -0.6 pts. 7d move -0.6 pts. Data quality 45/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
96.9%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
25
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 8.8K
Liquidity 5.4K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality45.1
Momentum3.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.6 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 96.8%. 24h move -0.6 pts. 7d move -0.6 pts. Data quality 45/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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