Polymarket · Energy
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Energy expectations are rising at 82.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 82.5%. 24h move +3.0 pts. 7d move +3.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
82.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
31
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.9K
Liquidity 6.5K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality45.7
Momentum17.4
Urgency25.0
7d Move3.0 pts
Energy expectation is rising at 82.5%. 24h move +3.0 pts. 7d move +3.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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