Polymarket · Energy

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Energy expectations are rising at 53.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 53.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 58/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 53.5%
Signal Watch
Score 41
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 88.3K Liquidity 142.6K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality57.6
Momentum11.8
Urgency60.9
7d Move1.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 53.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 58/100.

Same theme
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May? 2.5% · Probability Fade · score 67 Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? 82.0% · Probability Surge · score 53 Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? 19.0% · Watch · score 51 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? 20.5% · Probability Surge · score 46 Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? 44.5% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 70.5% · Probability Surge · score 44