Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 61.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 61.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 37/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 61.5%
Signal Watch
Score 27
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 955 Liquidity 2.0K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.3
Momentum0.0
Urgency54.4
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 61.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 37/100.

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