Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Tele-Rallies?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 73.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 73.0%. 24h move +5.5 pts. 7d move +5.5 pts. Data quality 33/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 73.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 45
Freshness 47s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 938 Liquidity 352 Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality33.5
Momentum31.9
Urgency95.0
7d Move5.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 73.0%. 24h move +5.5 pts. 7d move +5.5 pts. Data quality 33/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will Trump say "Football" during Tele-Rallies? 100.0% · Probability Surge · score 72 Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? 18.5% · Probability Fade · score 69 Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? 15.5% · Probability Fade · score 64 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? 27.2% · Probability Fade · score 63 Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic? 6.0% · Probability Fade · score 61 Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 1 - 3 Drogheda United FC? 1.7% · Probability Fade · score 60