Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Mel Sullivan win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 0.3% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.3%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.3%
Signal Watch
Score 28
Freshness 34s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 882 Liquidity 7.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency54.9
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.3%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 40/100.

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