Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Trump say "Danger" this week?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 49.0% on a thin market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 49.0%. 24h move -12.5 pts. 7d move -12.5 pts. Data quality 22/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 49.0%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 51
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 94 Liquidity 38 Spread 0.8 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality21.7
Momentum73.5
Urgency69.4
7d Move-12.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 49.0%. 24h move -12.5 pts. 7d move -12.5 pts. Data quality 22/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? 25.2% · Probability Fade · score 65 Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? 15.5% · Probability Fade · score 64 Will Trump say "Football" during Tele-Rallies? 100.0% · Probability Surge · score 63 Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic? 5.0% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? 24.0% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? 18.5% · Probability Fade · score 59