Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 6.8% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 6.8%. 24h move -0.6 pts. 7d move -0.6 pts. Data quality 36/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 6.9%
Signal Watch
Score 25
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 924 Liquidity 1.3K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality36.3
Momentum11.3
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.6 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 6.8%. 24h move -0.6 pts. 7d move -0.6 pts. Data quality 36/100.

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