Polymarket · Technology

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Technology expectations are rising at 90.8% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is rising at 90.8%. 24h move +3.0 pts. 7d move +3.0 pts. Data quality 43/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 90.8%
Signal High Conviction
Score 37
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.1K Liquidity 2.7K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality43.5
Momentum35.4
Urgency25.0
7d Move3.0 pts

Technology expectation is rising at 90.8%. 24h move +3.0 pts. 7d move +3.0 pts. Data quality 43/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026? 69.5% · Probability Surge · score 57 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 67.0% · Probability Surge · score 47 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? 0.6% · Probability Fade · score 47 Will Google (GOOGL) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? 70.2% · Probability Surge · score 47 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? 52.0% · Probability Surge · score 46 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $410 end of June? 51.1% · Thin Market · score 44