Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 78.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 78.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 29/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
78.5%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
29
Freshness
2m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 99
Liquidity 456
Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality28.6
Momentum32.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move-5.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 78.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 29/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
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