Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 48.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 48.5%. 24h move +8.5 pts. 7d move +8.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 48.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 44
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.1K Liquidity 18.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality47.7
Momentum49.3
Urgency25.0
7d Move8.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 48.5%. 24h move +8.5 pts. 7d move +8.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

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