Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 5.8% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 5.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 5.9%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 34s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.0K Liquidity 36.0K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality49.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 5.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

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