Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 92.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 92.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 26
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 911 Liquidity 8.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.6
Momentum0.0
Urgency47.1
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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