Polymarket · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Crypto expectations are falling at 97.4% on a moderate-quality market. Crypto expectation is steady at 97.4%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Probability 97.4%
Signal High Conviction
Score 26
Freshness 24s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.9K Liquidity 17.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality47.6
Momentum3.5
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Crypto expectation is steady at 97.4%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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