Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 88.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 88.0%. 24h move -1.7 pts. 7d move -1.7 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 88.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 33
Freshness 36s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 10.0K Liquidity 8.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality46.3
Momentum11.1
Urgency47.1
7d Move-1.7 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 88.0%. 24h move -1.7 pts. 7d move -1.7 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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