Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 20.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 20.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 44/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
20.5%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
40
Freshness
11s
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.2K
Liquidity 3.8K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality44.4
Momentum32.0
Urgency47.7
7d Move-5.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 20.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 44/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Same theme