Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 27.5% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 27.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 63/100.

Probability 27.5%
Signal Watch
Score 34
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 877.4K Liquidity 157.6K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality63.2
Momentum5.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 27.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 63/100.

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