Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 85.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 85.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
85.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
26
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.0K
Liquidity 17.7K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality47.7
Momentum2.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 85.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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