Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Trump say "Obama" this week?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 62.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 62.5%. 24h move -9.5 pts. 7d move -9.5 pts. Data quality 26/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
62.5%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
52
Freshness
55s
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 91
Liquidity 187
Spread 0.5 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality25.8
Momentum80.1
Urgency54.2
7d Move-9.5 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 62.5%. 24h move -9.5 pts. 7d move -9.5 pts. Data quality 26/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Same theme