Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 42.5% on a thin market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 42.5%. 24h move +7.0 pts. 7d move +7.0 pts. Data quality 21/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 42.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 44
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 90 Liquidity 27 Spread 0.8 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality20.9
Momentum61.6
Urgency58.7
7d Move7.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 42.5%. 24h move +7.0 pts. 7d move +7.0 pts. Data quality 21/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? 16.0% · Probability Fade · score 70 Will Starmer say "Defense" during the next PMQ? 58.5% · Probability Fade · score 61 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026? 64.0% · Probability Surge · score 61 Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao? 3.1% · Probability Fade · score 61 Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? 7.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat? 25.8% · Probability Surge · score 59